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Clean Air Markets

Virginia

CAIR Reduces Virginia’s Emissions

  • By 2015, CAIR will help Virginia sources reduce emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 100,000 tons or 46 percent.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) 2003 2010 2015
Virginia SO2 emissions without CAIR 216 191 179
Virginia SO2 emissions with CAIR N/A 136 116
  • By 2015, CAIR will help Virginia sources reduce emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 31,000 tons or 45 percent.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) 2003 2009 2015
Virginia NOx emissions without CAIR 69 68 60
Virginia NOx emissions with CAIR N/A 42 38

CAIR Helps Virginia and its Neighbors

  • Because air emissions travel across state boundaries, reducing the emissions from sources in Virginia also will reduce fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other areas of the country.
  • Currently, Virginia sources significantly contribute to fine particle pollution in the District of Columbia and in the following 6 states:
        Maryland, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, North Carolina & Delaware
  • Currently, Virginia sources significantly contribute to ground-level ozone pollution in the District of Columbia and in the following 7 states:
        Maryland, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, New York, Connecticut, & Delaware
  • Virginia’s ground-level ozone air quality will improve because of reductions of NOx in:
        Maryland and the District of Columbia, Ohio, Pennsylvania & West Virginia

CAIR Makes Virginia’s Air Cleaner

  • CAIR helps Virginia meet and maintain the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle pollution.
  • SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM), and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
  • Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”

    Fine Particle Pollution

    • At the end of 2004, 9 Virginia counties were designated nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine particle pollution (PM).
    • CAIR will help bring all of these counties into attainment by 2010:
          1. Alexandria County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          2. Arlington County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          3. Fairfax County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          4. Fairfax City Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          5. Falls Church County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          6. Loudon County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          7. Manassas County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          8. Manassas Park County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
          9. Prince William County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area

    Ground-level Ozone

    • At the end of 2004, 42 Virginia counties were designated nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for 8-hour ozone pollution.
    • Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 33 of these counties into attainment by 2010:
          1. City of Winchester Frederick Co, VA Area
          2. Frederick County Frederick Co, VA Area
          3. City of Fredericksburg Fredericksburg, VA Area
          4. Spotsylvania County Fredericksburg, VA Area
          5. Stafford County Fredericksburg, VA Area
          6. Madison (P) County Madison and Page Cos. (Shenandoah Natl Park), VA Area
          7. Page (P) County Madison and Page Cos. (Shenandoah Natl Park), VA Area
          8. City of Chesapeake Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          9. City of Hampton Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          10. City of Newport News Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          11. City of Norfolk Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          12. City of Poquoson Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          13. City of Portsmouth Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          14. City of Suffolk Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          15. City of Virginia Beach Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          16. City of Williamsburg Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          17. Gloucester County Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          18. Isle of Wight County Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          19. James City Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          20. York County Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads), VA Area
          21. Charles City Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          22. Chesterfield County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          23. City of Colonial Heights Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          24. City of Hopewell Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          25. City of Petersburg Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          26. City of Richmond Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          27. Hanover County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          28. Henrico County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          29. Prince George County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
          30. Salem City Roanoke, VA Area
          31. Botetourt County Roanoke, VA Area
          32. City of Roanoke Roanoke, VA Area
          33. Roanoke County Roanoke, VA Area
    • Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 9 more of those counties into attainment by 2015:
          1. Alexandria City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          2. Arlington County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          3. Fairfax County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          4. Fairfax City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          5. Falls Church City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          6. Loudoun County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          7. Manassas County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          8. Manassas Park City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
          9. Prince William County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area

CAIR is Smart for Virginia’s Economy

  • CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source, keeping jobs in Virginia.
  • Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR, and are projected to be below 2000 levels.
Average Retail Electricity Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars 2000 2010 2015
Virginia’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) 59.3 56.2 55.1
Virginia’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) N/A 57.0 56.2
    *mill = 1/10 of a cent

Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances) for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised Integrated Planning Modeling (IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004. Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region.

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