CAIR Reduces Virginia’s Emissions
- By 2015, CAIR will help Virginia sources reduce emissions
of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 100,000 tons or 46 percent.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2010 |
2015 |
Virginia SO2 emissions without CAIR |
216 |
191 |
179 |
Virginia SO2 emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
136 |
116 |
- By 2015, CAIR will help Virginia sources reduce emissions
of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 31,000 tons or 45 percent.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2009 |
2015 |
Virginia NOx emissions without CAIR |
69 |
68 |
60 |
Virginia NOx emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
42 |
38 |
CAIR Helps Virginia and its Neighbors
- Because air emissions travel across state boundaries,
reducing the emissions from sources in Virginia also will reduce
fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other
areas of the country.
- Currently, Virginia sources significantly contribute to
fine particle pollution in the District of Columbia and in the
following 6 states:
Maryland, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, West Virginia,
North Carolina & Delaware
- Currently, Virginia sources significantly contribute to
ground-level ozone pollution in the District of Columbia and in
the following 7 states:
Maryland, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, New
York, Connecticut, & Delaware
- Virginia’s ground-level ozone air quality will improve
because of reductions of NOx in:
Maryland and the District of Columbia, Ohio, Pennsylvania & West
Virginia
CAIR Makes Virginia’s Air Cleaner
- CAIR helps Virginia meet and maintain the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle
pollution.
- SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM),
and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
- Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting
the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”
Fine Particle Pollution
- At the end of 2004, 9 Virginia counties were designated nonattainment
for EPA’s health-based standards for fine particle pollution
(PM).
- CAIR will help bring all of these counties into attainment by 2010:
1. Alexandria County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
2. Arlington County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
3. Fairfax County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
4. Fairfax City Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
5. Falls Church County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
6. Loudon County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
7. Manassas County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
8. Manassas Park County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
9. Prince William County Washington, DC-MD, VA Area
Ground-level Ozone
- At the end of 2004, 42 Virginia counties were designated nonattainment
for EPA’s health-based standards for 8-hour ozone pollution.
- Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 33 of these counties
into attainment by 2010:
1. City of Winchester Frederick Co, VA Area
2. Frederick County Frederick Co, VA Area
3. City of Fredericksburg Fredericksburg, VA Area
4. Spotsylvania County Fredericksburg, VA Area
5. Stafford County Fredericksburg, VA Area
6. Madison (P) County Madison and Page Cos. (Shenandoah Natl Park),
VA Area
7. Page (P) County Madison and Page Cos. (Shenandoah Natl Park),
VA Area
8. City of Chesapeake Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
9. City of Hampton Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
10. City of Newport News Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
11. City of Norfolk Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
12. City of Poquoson Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
13. City of Portsmouth Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
14. City of Suffolk Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
15. City of Virginia Beach Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News
(Hampton Roads), VA Area
16. City of Williamsburg Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
17. Gloucester County Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
18. Isle of Wight County Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton
Roads), VA Area
19. James City Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads),
VA Area
20. York County Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News (Hampton Roads),
VA Area
21. Charles City Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
22. Chesterfield County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
23. City of Colonial Heights Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
24. City of Hopewell Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
25. City of Petersburg Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
26. City of Richmond Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
27. Hanover County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
28. Henrico County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
29. Prince George County Richmond-Petersburg, VA Area
30. Salem City Roanoke, VA Area
31. Botetourt County Roanoke, VA Area
32. City of Roanoke Roanoke, VA Area
33. Roanoke County Roanoke, VA Area
- Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 9 more of those counties into attainment
by 2015:
1. Alexandria City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
2. Arlington County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
3. Fairfax County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
4. Fairfax City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
5. Falls Church City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
6. Loudoun County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
7. Manassas County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
8. Manassas Park City Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
9. Prince William County Washington, DC-MD-VA Area
CAIR is Smart for Virginia’s Economy
- CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source,
keeping jobs in Virginia.
- Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR,
and are projected to be below 2000 levels.
Average Retail Electricity
Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
Virginia’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
59.3 |
56.2 |
55.1 |
Virginia’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
N/A |
57.0 |
56.2 |
*mill = 1/10 of a cent |
Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county
name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific
geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models
available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized
as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly
if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the
assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where
shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur
throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance
supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances)
for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual
NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised
Integrated Planning Modeling (IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may
differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal
Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed
before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary
difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the
annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season
cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution
control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004.
Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions
are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region.
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