CAIR Reduces Pennsylvania’s Emissions
- By 2015, CAIR will help Pennsylvania sources reduce emissions
of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 835,000 tons or 86 percent.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2010 |
2015 |
Pennsylvania SO2 emissions without CAIR |
967 |
908 |
851 |
Pennsylvania SO2 emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
235 |
132 |
- By 2015, CAIR will help Pennsylvania sources reduce emissions of
nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 97,000 tons or 56 percent from
2003 levels.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2009 |
2015 |
Pennsylvania NOx emissions without CAIR |
174 |
198 |
202 |
Pennsylvania NOx emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
107 |
77 |
CAIR Helps Pennsylvania and its Neighbors
- Because air emissions travel across state boundaries,
reducing the emissions from sources in Pennsylvania also will reduce
fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other
areas of the country.
- Currently, Pennsylvania sources significantly contribute
to fine particle pollution in the District of Columbia and the
following 10 states:
Maryland, West Virginia, North Carolina, Michigan, Ohio,
Delaware, Georgia, Connecticut, New York & New Jersey
- Pennsylvania sources also significantly contribute to
ground-level ozone pollution in the District of Columbia and the
following 7 states:
Maryland, New Jersey, Rhode Island, New York, Virginia,
Connecticut & Delaware
- Pennsylvania’s fine particle air quality will improve
because of reductions of SO2 and NOx in:
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and the District
of Columbia, Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia & West
Virginia
- Pennsylvania’s ground-level ozone air quality will
improve because of reductions of NOx in:
Delaware, Maryland and the District of Columbia, Michigan,
New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia & West Virginia
CAIR Makes Pennsylvania’s Air Cleaner
- CAIR helps Pennsylvania meet and maintain the National
Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and
fine particle pollution.
- SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM),
and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
- Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting
the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”
Fine Particle Pollution
- 22 Pennsylvania counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine
particle pollution (PM).
- CAIR will help bring the following 21 counties into attainment
for fine particles by 2010:
1. Cumberland County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
2. Dauphin County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
3. Lebanon County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
4. Cambria County Johnstown, PA Area
5. Indiana County (P) Johnstown, PA Area
6. Lancaster County Lancaster, PA Area
7. Bucks County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
8. Chester County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
9. Delaware County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
10. Montgomery County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
11. Philadelphia County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
12. Allegheny County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
13. Armstrong County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
14. Beaver County Pittsburgh, PA Area
15. Butler County Pittsburgh, PA Area
16. Greene County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
17. Lawrence County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
18. Washington County Pittsburgh, PA Area
19. Westmoreland County Pittsburgh, PA Area
20. Berks County Reading, PA Area
21. York County York, PA Area
- CAIR will significantly reduce PM levels in the remaining
nonattainment county:
1. Allegheny County (P) Pittsburgh-Liberty/Clairton, PA Area
Ground-level Ozone
- At the end of 2004, 37 Pennsylvania counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for 8-hour
ozone pollution.
- Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 32 of these counties
into attainment by 2010.
1. Carbon County Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Area
2. Lehigh County Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Area
3. Northampton County Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Area
4. Blair County Altoona, PA Area
5. Clearfield County Clearfield and Indiana, PA Area
6. Indiana County Clearfield and Indiana, PA Area
7. Erie County Erie, PA Area
8. Franklin County Franklin Co., PA Area
9. Greene County Greene Co., PA Area
10. Cumberland County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
11. Dauphin County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
12. Lebanon County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
13. Perry County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
14. Cambria County Johnstown, PA Area
15. Lancaster County Lancaster, PA Area
16. Allegheny County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
17. Armstrong County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
18. Beaver County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
19. Butler County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
20. Fayette County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
21. Washington County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
22. Westmoreland County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
23. Berks County Reading, PA Area
24. Lackawanna County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
25. Luzerne County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
26. Monroe County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
27. Wyoming County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
28. Centre County State College, PA Area
29. Tioga County Tioga Co., PA Area
30. Adams County York, PA Area
31. York County York, PA Area
32. Mercer County Youngstown-Warren-Sharon, OH-PA Area
- CAIR will further reduce ozone pollution in the remaining
5 counties.
1. Bucks County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ
Area
2. Chester County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ
Area
3. Delaware County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ
Area
4. Montgomery County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ
Area
5. Philadelphia County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City,
PA-DE-MD-NJ Area
CAIR is Smart for Pennsylvania’s Economy
- CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source,
keeping jobs in Pennsylvania.
- Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR,
and are projected to be below 2000 levels.
Average Retail Electricity
Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
Pennsylvania’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
80.4 |
59.3 |
69.4 |
Pennsylvania’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
N/A |
61.0 |
72.0 |
*mill = 1/10 of a cent |
Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county
name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific
geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models
available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized
as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly
if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the
assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where
shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur
throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance
supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances)
for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual
NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised
Integrated Planning Modeling (IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may
differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal
Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed
before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary
difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the
annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season
cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution
control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004.
Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions
are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region.
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