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Pennsylvania

CAIR Reduces Pennsylvania’s Emissions

  • By 2015, CAIR will help Pennsylvania sources reduce emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 835,000 tons or 86 percent.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) 2003 2010 2015
Pennsylvania SO2 emissions without CAIR 967 908 851
Pennsylvania SO2 emissions with CAIR N/A 235 132
  • By 2015, CAIR will help Pennsylvania sources reduce emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 97,000 tons or 56 percent from 2003 levels.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) 2003 2009 2015
Pennsylvania NOx emissions without CAIR 174 198 202
Pennsylvania NOx emissions with CAIR N/A 107 77

CAIR Helps Pennsylvania and its Neighbors

  • Because air emissions travel across state boundaries, reducing the emissions from sources in Pennsylvania also will reduce fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other areas of the country.
  • Currently, Pennsylvania sources significantly contribute to fine particle pollution in the District of Columbia and the following 10 states:
        Maryland, West Virginia, North Carolina, Michigan, Ohio, Delaware, Georgia, Connecticut, New York & New Jersey
  • Pennsylvania sources also significantly contribute to ground-level ozone pollution in the District of Columbia and the following 7 states:
        Maryland, New Jersey, Rhode Island, New York, Virginia, Connecticut & Delaware
  • Pennsylvania’s fine particle air quality will improve because of reductions of SO2 and NOx in:
        Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and the District of Columbia, Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia & West Virginia
  • Pennsylvania’s ground-level ozone air quality will improve because of reductions of NOx in:
        Delaware, Maryland and the District of Columbia, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia & West Virginia

CAIR Makes Pennsylvania’s Air Cleaner

  • CAIR helps Pennsylvania meet and maintain the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle pollution.
  • SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM), and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
  • Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”

    Fine Particle Pollution

    • 22 Pennsylvania counties were designated nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine particle pollution (PM).
    • CAIR will help bring the following 21 counties into attainment for fine particles by 2010:
          1. Cumberland County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          2. Dauphin County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          3. Lebanon County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          4. Cambria County Johnstown, PA Area
          5. Indiana County (P) Johnstown, PA Area
          6. Lancaster County Lancaster, PA Area
          7. Bucks County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
          8. Chester County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
          9. Delaware County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
          10. Montgomery County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
          11. Philadelphia County Philadelphia-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE Area
          12. Allegheny County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
          13. Armstrong County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
          14. Beaver County Pittsburgh, PA Area
          15. Butler County Pittsburgh, PA Area
          16. Greene County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
          17. Lawrence County (P) Pittsburgh, PA Area
          18. Washington County Pittsburgh, PA Area
          19. Westmoreland County Pittsburgh, PA Area
          20. Berks County Reading, PA Area
          21. York County York, PA Area
    • CAIR will significantly reduce PM levels in the remaining nonattainment county:
          1. Allegheny County (P) Pittsburgh-Liberty/Clairton, PA Area

    Ground-level Ozone

    • At the end of 2004, 37 Pennsylvania counties were designated nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for 8-hour ozone pollution.
    • Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 32 of these counties into attainment by 2010.
          1. Carbon County Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Area
          2. Lehigh County Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Area
          3. Northampton County Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Area
          4. Blair County Altoona, PA Area
          5. Clearfield County Clearfield and Indiana, PA Area
          6. Indiana County Clearfield and Indiana, PA Area
          7. Erie County Erie, PA Area
          8. Franklin County Franklin Co., PA Area
          9. Greene County Greene Co., PA Area
          10. Cumberland County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          11. Dauphin County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          12. Lebanon County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          13. Perry County Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Area
          14. Cambria County Johnstown, PA Area
          15. Lancaster County Lancaster, PA Area
          16. Allegheny County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          17. Armstrong County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          18. Beaver County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          19. Butler County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          20. Fayette County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          21. Washington County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          22. Westmoreland County Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley, PA Area
          23. Berks County Reading, PA Area
          24. Lackawanna County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
          25. Luzerne County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
          26. Monroe County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
          27. Wyoming County Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA Area
          28. Centre County State College, PA Area
          29. Tioga County Tioga Co., PA Area
          30. Adams County York, PA Area
          31. York County York, PA Area
          32. Mercer County Youngstown-Warren-Sharon, OH-PA Area
    • CAIR will further reduce ozone pollution in the remaining 5 counties.
          1. Bucks County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ Area
          2. Chester County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ Area
          3. Delaware County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ Area
          4. Montgomery County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ Area
          5. Philadelphia County Philadelphia-Wilmington, Atlantic City, PA-DE-MD-NJ Area

CAIR is Smart for Pennsylvania’s Economy

  • CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source, keeping jobs in Pennsylvania.
  • Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR, and are projected to be below 2000 levels.
Average Retail Electricity Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars 2000 2010 2015
Pennsylvania’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) 80.4 59.3 69.4
Pennsylvania’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) N/A 61.0 72.0
    *mill = 1/10 of a cent

Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances) for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised Integrated Planning Modeling (IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004. Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region.

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