Michigan’s Emissions Under CAIR
- By 2015, emissions from Michigan sources will increase
less than they would without CAIR - 34,000 tons, or just under 10 percent,
as opposed to 47,000 tons.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2010 |
2015 |
Michigan SO2 emissions without CAIR |
351 |
387 |
398 |
Michigan SO2 emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
381 |
385 |
- By 2015, CAIR will help Michigan sources reduce emissions
of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 34,000 tons or 29 percent.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2009 |
2015 |
Michigan NOx emissions without CAIR |
119 |
117 |
120 |
Michigan NOx emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
88 |
85 |
CAIR Helps Michigan and its Neighbors
- Because air emissions travel across state boundaries,
reducing the emissions from sources in Michigan also will reduce
fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other
areas of the country.
- Michigan sources significantly contribute to fine particle
pollution in 8 other states:
Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Kentucky, West Virginia,
Indiana, Delaware & New Jersey
- Michigan sources also contribute significantly to ground-level
ozone pollution in 6 other states:
Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, New York, Delaware & Ohio
- Michigan’s fine particle air quality will improve
because of reductions of SO2 and NOx in:
Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin
- Michigan’s ground-level ozone air quality will improve
because of reductions of NOx in:
Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Wisconsin, Kentucky & Ohio
CAIR Makes Michigan’s Air Cleaner
- CAIR helps Michigan meet and maintain the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle
pollution.
- SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM),
and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
- Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting
the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”
Fine Particle Pollution
- At the end of 2004, 7 Michigan counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine
particle pollution.
- CAIR will help these counties come closer to attaining the PM standards:
1. Livingston County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
2. Macomb County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
3. Monroe County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
4. Oakland County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
5. St. Clair County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
6. Washtenaw County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
7. Wayne County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
Ground-level Ozone
- At the end of 2004, 25 Michigan counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for ground-level
ozone pollution.
- Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring 17 of these counties
into attainment by 2010:
1. Allegan County Allegan Co., MI Area
2. Berrien County Benton Harbor, MI Area
3. Benzie County Benzie Co., MI Area
4. Cass County Cass Co., MI Area
5. Genesee County Flint, MI Area
6. Lapeer County Flint, MI Area
7. Kent County Grand Rapids, MI Area
8. Ottawa County Grand Rapids, MI Area
9. Huron County Huron Co., MI Area
10. Calhoun County Kalamazoo-Battle Creek-MI Area
11. Kalamazoo County Kalamazoo-Battle Creek-MI Area
12. Van Buren County Kalamazoo-Battle Creek-MI Area
13. Clinton County Lansing-East Lansing-MI Area
14. Eaton County Lansing-East Lansing-MI Area
15. Ingham County Lansing-East Lansing-MI Area
16. Mason County Mason Co., MI Area
17. Muskegon County Muskegon Co. MI Area
- CAIR will help bring the other 8 counties into attainment
by 2015:
1. Lenawee County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
2. Livingston County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
3. Macomb County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
4. Monroe County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
5. Oakland County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
6. St. Clair County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
7. Washtenaw County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
8. Wayne County Detroit-Ann Arbor, MI Area
CAIR is Smart for Michigan’s Economy
- CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source.
- Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR.
Average Retail Electricity
Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
Michigan’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
57.4 |
51.7 |
55.2 |
Michigan’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
N/A |
53.7 |
58.6 |
*mill = 1/10 of a cent |
Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county
name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific
geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models
available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized
as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly
if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the
assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where
shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur
throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance
supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances)
for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual
NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised Integrated Planning Modeling
(IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may
differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal
Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed
before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary
difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the
annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season
cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution
control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004.
Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions
are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region.
|