CAIR Reduces Kentucky’s Emissions
- By 2015, CAIR will help Kentucky sources reduce emissions
of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 260,000 tons or 49 percent.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2010 |
2015 |
Kentucky SO2 emissions without CAIR |
530 |
447 |
413 |
Kentucky SO2 emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
341 |
270 |
- By 2015, CAIR will help Kentucky sources reduce emissions
of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 108,000 tons or 58 percent.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2009 |
2015 |
Kentucky NOx emissions without CAIR |
185 |
176 |
176 |
Kentucky NOx emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
107 |
77 |
CAIR Helps Kentucky and its Neighbors
- Because air emissions travel across state boundaries,
reducing the emissions from sources in Kentucky also will reduce
fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other
areas of the country.
- Currently, Kentucky sources significantly contribute to
fine particle pollution in 10 other states including:
Pennsylvania, Indiana, North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia,
Georgia, Tennessee, West Virginia, Alabama & Illinois
- Currently, Kentucky sources also significantly contribute
to ground-level ozone pollution in 3 other states including:
Georgia, Ohio & Michigan
- Kentucky’s fine particle air quality will improve
because of reductions of SO2 and NOx in:
Alabama, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri,
Ohio, Tennessee & West Virginia
CAIR Makes Kentucky’s Air Cleaner
- CAIR helps Kentucky meet and maintain the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle
pollution.
- SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM),
and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
- Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting
the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”
Fine Particle Pollution
- Seven Kentucky counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine
particle pollution.
- CAIR will help reduce fine particle pollution in those
seven counties:
1. Boone County Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Area
2. Campbell County Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Area
3. Kenton County Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Area
4. Boyd County Huntingdon-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Area
5. Lawrence County (P) Huntingdon-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Area
6. Bullitt County Louisville, KY-IN Area
7. Jefferson County Louisville, KY-IN Area
Ground-level Ozone
- At the end of 2004, eight Kentucky counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for ground-level
ozone pollution.
- Existing Clean Air Act Programs will bring all of these counties
into attainment by 2010.
1. Boone County Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Area
2. Campbell County Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Area
3. Kenton County Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Area
4. Christian County Clarkesville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY Area
5. Boyd County Huntington-Ashland, KY-WV Area
6. Bullitt County Louisville, KY-IN Area
7. Jefferson County Louisville, KY-IN Area
8. Oldham County Louisville, KY-IN Area
CAIR is Smart for Kentucky’s Economy
- CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source,
keeping jobs in Kentucky.
- Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR.
Average Retail Electricity
Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
Kentucky’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
57.4 |
51.7 |
55.2 |
Kentucky’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
N/A |
53.7 |
58.6 |
*mill = 1/10 of a cent |
Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county
name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific
geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models
available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized
as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly
if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the
assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where
shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur
throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance
supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances)
for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual
NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised
Integrated Planning Modeling (IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may
differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal
Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed
before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary
difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the
annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season
cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution
control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004.
Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions
are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliablity Corporation (NERC) region.
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