CAIR Reduces Illinois’ Emissions
- By 2015, CAIR will help Illinois sources reduce emissions
of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 125,000 tons or 34 percent.
SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2010 |
2015 |
Illinois SO2 emissions without CAIR |
365 |
402 |
447 |
Illinois SO2 emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
240 |
240 |
- By 2015, CAIR will help Illinois sources reduce emissions
of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 81,000 tons or 55 percent.
NOx Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2009 |
2015 |
Illinois NOx emissions without CAIR |
146 |
146 |
159 |
Illinois NOx emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
69 |
65 |
CAIR Helps Illinois and its Neighbors
- Because air emissions travel across state boundaries,
reducing the emissions from sources in Illinois also will reduce
fine particle pollution and ground-level ozone pollution in other
areas of the country.
- Currently, Illinois sources significantly contribute to
fine particle pollution in other states:
Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Indiana, Tennessee,
Kentucky, Alabama & Michigan
- Currently, Illinois sources also significantly contribute
to ground-level ozone pollution in other states:
Ohio, Wisconsin & Michigan
- Illinois’ fine particle air quality will improve
because of reductions of SO2 and NOx in:
Illinois, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri,
Ohio, Texas & Wisconsin
CAIR Makes Illinois’ Air Cleaner
- CAIR helps Illinois meet and maintain the National Ambient Air
Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle
pollution.
- SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM),
and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
- Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting
the standards are known as “nonattainment areas.”
Fine Particle Pollution
- At the end of 2004, 12 Illinois counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine
particle pollution.
- CAIR will help reduce particle pollution in all of these counties:
1. Cook County Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
2. DuPage County Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
3. Grundy County (P) Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
4. Kane County Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
5. Kendall County (P) Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
6. Lake County Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
7. McHenry County Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
8. Will County Chicago-Gary-Lake County, Il-IN Area
9. Madison County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
10. Monroe County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
11. Randolph County (P) St. Louis, MO-IL Area
12. St. Clair County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
Ground-level Ozone
- At the end of 2004, 12 Illinois counties were designated
nonattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for ground-level
ozone pollution.
- Existing Clean Air Act programs will bring all of these counties
into attainment by 2010:
1. Cook County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
2. DuPage County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
3. Grundy (P) County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
4. Kane County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
5. Kendall (P) County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
6. Lake County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
7. McHenry County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
8. Will County Chicago-Gary-Lake Co., IL-IN Area
9. Jersey County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
10. Madison County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
11. Monroe County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
12. St. Clair County St. Louis, MO-IL Area
CAIR is Smart for Illinois' Economy
- CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source,
keeping jobs in Illinois.
- Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR,
and are projected to be below 2000 levels.
Average Retail Electricity
Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
Illinois’ AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
61.2 |
52.6 |
57.8 |
Illinois’ AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
N/A |
53.9 |
60.4 |
*mill = 1/10 of a cent |
Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county
name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific
geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models
available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized
as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly
if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the
assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a state under CAIR where
shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur
throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance
supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances)
for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual
NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised Integrated Planning Modeling (IPM), reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may
differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal
Register Notice and Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) which were based on modeling that was completed
before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary
difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the
annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season
cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution
control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004.
Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions
are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by North American Electric Reliablity Corporation (NERC) region.
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